Delivery of second Akula-class boat unlikely before
2020-21; Chakra’s lease runs out in 2022
By Ajai Shukla
Business Standard, 24th Oct 16
The Indian Navy will not be deploying a
second Russian nuclear attack submarine in addition to the INS Chakra --- a
“sub surface nuclear” (SSN) vessel leased from Russia for ten years, from 2012-2022.
Instead, Business Standard learns from
government sources in New Delhi that the second SSN that India is negotiating
to lease from Russia will only replace the Chakra, when its 10-year lease
expires.
Confirms a Russian official source from
Moscow: “India would only get delivery of a second SSN by 2020-21. There might
be some overlap with INS Chakra but, after its lease runs out in 2022, India
will continue to operate just one Russian SSN.”
Russian media reports indicate that a
half-built Akula-class submarine in Russia, tentatively named Irbis, could be
completed and delivered to India by 2020-21. While the Chakra lease cost $970
million, the next submarine might be substantially costlier.
The defence ministry has been evaluating a
replacement for the Chakra even before it came to India. Speaking to the media
in April 2012, the day the Chakra joined the navy’s eastern fleet in Visakhapatnam,
then Defence Minister AK Antony told the media: “There is a proposal (about a
second nuclear submarine) but we have not taken a decision about that.”
Meanwhile, as part of the established
Russia-India partnership in nuclear submarines, Russian experts continue
supporting the Indian Navy’s indigenous SSN programme, which New Delhi plans to
develop into four-six indigenous SSNs. The Chakra and its successor are
intended to develop the expertise needed to operate these.
Negotiations on nuclear assets are top
secret, which is why there was no mention of a replacement SSN after the 17th
Russia-India annual summit meeting in Goa last week between Prime Minister
Narendra Modi and President Vladimir Putin.
However, Indian officials say there are direct
linkages between visible programmes, like India’s decision to buy four Russian stealth
frigates; and the invisible “strategic programmes” like the lease of an SSN to
replace the Chakra, and Russian cooperation in India’s SSN and SSBN programme.
Sources familiar with the “advanced
technology vessel” (ATV) project, as the Arihant development programme was called,
tell Business Standard that Russian experts played a significant role in
helping India build the “shell” for the indigenously developed nuclear reactor,
and in installing the reactor in the submarine.
Installing a reactor is a precision task
that is vital for a nuclear submarine’s stealth. It involves segregating all
moving or noisy reactor parts from the hull by mounting the reactor on a “raft”
and using “noise suppression systems”.
Nuclear submarines --- both SSNs and SSBNs
--- have far greater endurance than conventional submarines. When submerged, a
conventional (diesel-electric) vessel runs on power supplied by its on-board
electric batteries. When these are drained, typically in 8-72 hours depending
upon how fast it moves, the submarine must surface to run its diesel generators
and recharge its batteries. In so doing, it is vulnerable to detection and attack
by enemy aircraft, surface ships and submarines.
A nuclear submarine, in contrast, can
remain submerged indefinitely since generating nuclear power does not require
air.
This allows it to silently cover long
distances underwater, slip undetected into a patrol area; and lurk in wait for
enemy shipping, which it can destroy with torpedoes or missiles before escaping,
still submerged.
The Indian Navy currently faces a dire
shortage of submarines. Against an assessed requirement of 24 conventional
submarines, it deploys just 13. In addition, Mazagon Dock, Mumbai is building six
Scorpene conventional submarines, which are slated to enter service between
2017-2020.
Due to India’s peculiar coastal
hydrography, and its operational requirements, the navy requires both
conventional and nuclear submarines. The smaller conventional vessels are
needed for the Arabian Sea, which is too shallow in many places for larger
nuclear boats. Simultaneously, the deeper Bay of Bengal and Indian Ocean, with
their vast expanses, require SSNs to cover.
It is true that IRBIS is 60% complete and will take 4-5 years to refurbish and after susequent harbour/sea trials and then only be handed over to us reaching us by 2020-2022 but then india always has the option of extending the lease of Chakra I as stipulated in the contract if it desires.In fact it should do so as it will have 2 subs to train crews and can be deployed at both eastern and western commands...moreover will always have one SSN on patrol at all times till our indigenous SSN arrive..With indefinite endurance both vessels will saturate an area of more than 10000 sq nautical miles.Also not to forget around 2022 pakistan's chinese subs start coming out and the chinese nuclear subs foray into indian ocean will increase ...Our own P75I is delayed and even if an contact is inked as early as 2018 which seems unlikely the 1st sub will arrive in 6 years i.e 2023 at the earliest if everything progresses smoothly..
ReplyDeleteSSN stands for ship submersible Nuclear.
ReplyDeleteWhat I don't understand is that it makes no sense for IN to replace one SSN with another, instead could they not have extended the lease of chakra?? its a fairly new hull and such vessels are expected to serve for decades...
Should we be going in for another (new) SSN? Even if we do, we can always negotiate the extension of INS Chakra's lease. That way we can potentially go into 2030's with 2 SSNs.
ReplyDeleteEqually, should IN and RM not explore the option of leasing conventional submarines from Russia? Surely, the lease will be much cheaper and we can have 4-5 conventional submarines? This should plug the gap before we get P75I series of subs.
Ajai - SSN is Submersible Ship Nuclear - you might want to correct that
ReplyDelete- Not a Journalist Like Ajai Shukla But Know More Than Him :)